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Sunday 6 February 2011

EZ Stock List (Feb 7, 2011) - US

1. FMC Technologies (FTI)
Rating: Buy; Entry: 95.4-95.5, S/L: 90.45-90.35

2. Fortinet (FTNT)
Rating: Buy; Entry: 39.75-39.8, S/L: 35.94-35.85

3. Albemarle Corp (ALB)
Rating: Buy; Entry: 58.58-58.65, S/L: 54.77-54.7

Happy Investing^^
Disclaimer ON!!!

EZ Stock List (Feb 7, 2011) - JKSE

At the last trading day we had a cooling down news which is the announcement of BI Rate, which is finally increased to 6.75% which is 25 basis point increment, which is also expected by the market. Personally, I'm quite optimistic that this will be one of the 'fuel' for JKSE to continue the upward movements, because the announcement is as expected & I think that tomorrow will be a bit shocking in the beginning of the trade but will end up with green again, as I expect.

A bit technical view on our index for the upcoming week is remain bullish. I see that there's a similarity in weekly pattern at May 2010 with the current condition. We can see after a bottom, then one week up & a hammer which is continued with another bull week which is a strong bull week.

See the chart below:
Can you see??? A bottoming candle at the same line, after that a Bull Candle, A Hammer & Another Bull Candle at May. Will it happen again for the upcoming week??? We'll see with the BI Rate sentiments.

So, here's the stocklists for next week:
1. BW Plantation (BWPT.JK)
After being in selling pressure on Friday, the MACD still showing a good signal, while the MACD is showing 3-greens which is quite confirming as a bullish reversal signal. But be very aware that it still have a resistance at 1250, so it's much better for us to wait until it breaks 1250 level.
Rating: Buy; Entry: 1260-1270, S/L: 1090-1080, TP: 1590-1620

2. Tunas Ridean (TURI.JK)
After went down & consolidating for long time, this stock is now discounted to a quite low price, but the upward movement seems to be in charge this time. A double bottom pattern & breaking the resistance is the key to buy on this stock.
Rating: SpecBuy; Entry: 640-660, S/L: 560-550, TP: 690-700

3. Indosiar Karya Media (IDKM.JK)
A fast moving stock since last year at first time breakout rally it has made a gain up to 732%, which is a very astonishing gain. I see a potential gain on this stock but a bit speculative as this stock is a fast moving but gaining stock.
Rating: SpecBuy; Entry: 960-970, S/L: 850-840, TP: 1200-1300

Happy Investing^^
Disclaimer ON!!!

Risk Management

In doing a trade, everyone must have their way in anticipating the unfavorable situation that might happen in the future. A lot of ways that traders can do in order to keep their portfolio alive & growing. Today I'll share three ways in diversifying the risk so that our portfolio can keep growing day to day.

1. Diversifying risk by diversifying the portfolio to other exchanges
This is a very good way & becoming my first choice in order to keep the portfolio alive, yet this is a very effective way. For instance, a trader who trades in Indonesian market also trade at European or China market. This means he has diversified his portfolio risk to other country, beside of having currency exposure. If Indonesian market isn't in good condition, other country might still have their condition good, like the current one in Egypt, the traders in Egypt still can trade at European market or US market.

2.Doing multiple trade by having a long & short positions at the same time
This can be done only when the market is in uncertainty of directions, which means you buy a stock & you short other stock. For example, because of a very uncertain movement of the markets, yet the economic data is so choppy, a trader would buy a XYZ stock which is now in a very bullish position, and short ZYX stock which is a very bearish stock. This can reduce the risk if the market goes up, you might earn profits from XYZ but when market turns unfavorable, you might still earn from ZYX stock.

3. Buying options
The hardest yet complicated choice, as we need to analyze which options & at what strike we have to buy. The other things to be considered in buying options is the Greeks factor, which change every tick of changes in the underlying. For example, I long a XYZ stock at 25.5, and in order to keep my portfolio insured, I buy a put options of XYZ at 25 strike price, once the XYZ goes up, I loss on the options but profit on the stocks & vice versa. This is not so effective but still hedges the risk of losing more money especially in futures trading.

Happy Investing^^
Disclaimer ON!!!