EZ Stock List (Nov 2, 2010)

Here's my trading plan:
1. Panin Sekuritas (PANS.JK)
Entry: 1370-1380, S/L: 1220-1210

2. Astra Int'l (ASII.JK)
Entry: 57750-57900, S/L: 55450-55350

3. Alam Sutera (ASRI.JK)
Entry: 285-290, S/L: 235-230

4. Gudang Garam (GGRM.JK)
Entry:  47850-48000, S/L: 46600-46450

5. Kalbe Farma (KLBF.JK)
Entry: 2725-2750, S/L: 2500-2475

Happy Investing^^
Disclaimer ON!!!

Best Regards,
Christopher Tahir
Blog: http://ez-stock.blogspot.com
MSN: chris_tahir@hotmail.com
YM: chris_tahir@ymail.com

Mail to my Y!Group:
ez-stock-subscribe@yahoogroups.com

Lesson 5 - Moving Average Convergence & Divergence (MACD)

One of the most popular indicator is teh MACD (Moving Average Convergence & Divergence), which usually known as MACD (12,26) & Signal (12,26,3). This MACD actually consists of EMAs calculation.

The MACD (12,26) means EMA 12 - EMA 26, and the Signal is the EMA 3 of MACD. This MACD sometimes can create a very great signal that a lot of people don't discover the signal which can produce a great amount of income for us.

MACD's ability besides of giving a buy or sell signal, it also can produce a reversal signal either bullish or bearish.

Two major reversal signal which are known as Bullish Divergence & Bearish Divergence. These signals aren't popular because we need a precision in looking at this moment, which finally can save us from the 'hell'. People always say that not all stock can be detected, but I can say that a lot of stock can be detected this way.

1. Bullish Reversal

Identified with some clues:

1. Price in a downtrend, with volume decreasing
2. MACD Histogram is moving at Slope - Peak - Slope
3. 1st Slope is lower than the 2nd Slope
4. After the last Slope finished & creating a new Peak, it's time to enter the market

See the chart below at Bumi Resources (BUMI.JK) stock, we can see a very clear position.

 2. Bearish Reversal
Identified with some clues:

1. Price in an uptrend, with volume decreasing
2. MACD Histogram is moving at Peak - Slope - Peak
3. 1st Peak is higher than the 2nd Peak
4. After the last Peak finished & creating a new Slope, it's time to Exit the market with a confirmation

See the chart below at Bumi Resources (BUMI.JK) stock, we can see a very clear position.




Here's the link of movie I said, you can get from the torrent software at utorrent.com & download this file & open using the software to download the movie.
http://www.ziddu.com/download/12321254/RogueTrader.torrent.html
And this is the subtitle:
http://www.ziddu.com/download/12321265/RogueTrader.zip.html
Rename the video & Subtitle with the same name, so that you can watch the movie with the subtitle.

Here's the link of Money Management Workbook I promised:
http://www.ziddu.com/download/12322012/MoneyManagement.xlsx.html

Happy Investing^^

Disclaimer ON!!!

EZ Stock List (Oct 27, 2010)

Our index was moving in mixed condition yet quite volatile. We don't know what's happening now, but seems the 'big' player is betting on the earnings. So, we must be ready for stocks which is quite good in the fundamental.

Now, I've selected some stocks that's fundamentally quite good. Yet, some stocks that we can take a look are BBKP.JK, INDF.JK, MDLN.JK, MNCN.JK, ROTI.JK, SHID.JK.

1. Bank Bukopin (BBKP.JK)

This stock has been sleeping for quite a long time, yet accumulation seems too be happening when this stock seems to be sleeping. I believe that tomorrow will be quite good for our index & yet I'm optimistic for the index will be green again tomorrow. Indicators are bending up, so we can also accumulate when breaking the resistance.

Rating: Buy On Break; Entry: 740-750, S/L: 690-680

2. Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF.JK)

After the noodle case, a lot of trades are forced sell as it decreased fast. Now, we can see that after the clarification by the MoH & management that it is safe, we can see that it started to climb up. Again, this stock is now being kept by the 'big boss'. Indicators are bending up, MACD almost golden cross.

Rating: Buy On Break; Entry: 5200-5250, S/L: 4850-4825

3. Modernland Realty (MDLN.JK)

After consolidated a few moments, this stock is again showing a 'sign' to again doing a rally, but remember this one is quite risky one, once you earn, you can exit first as fundamental didn't support this stock, as in Q2, it suffered losses.

Rating: Buy On Break; Entry: 270-275, S/L: 235-230

4. Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN.JK)

This stock is quite cheap in value, yet the company has just re-branded one of its channel become MNC TV. This will re-new & re-build the reputation of the channel. Based on the technical view, we can see that it's trying to do a breakout again. We can watch this one as one of our picks. Seems to be forming a flag, but breaking out again creating a higher high.

Rating: Buy On Break; Entry: 610-620, S/L: 550-540

5. Nippon Indosari Corpindo (ROTI.JK)

We're waiting again for this stock to break out the down-trend channel, once it break again, then it's a good confirmation to again increase. So, we can again wait the breakout of 2925 tomorrow.

Rating: Buy; Entry: 2900-2950, S/L: 2675-2650

6. Sahid Jaya Hotel (SHID.JK)

After breaking a new high again, we can see that this stock is very strong in having its position. So, we can again re-accumulate or adding some position on it.

Rating: Buy; Entry: 1240-1250, S/L: 1120-1110

Happy Investing^^

EZ Stock List (Oct 26, 2010)

Today market goes as expected, yet the volume is not really supported but the index is supported by the increment of AALI as the index mover of the day with some bluechips also. Tomorrow together with a nice set up in US tonight, I can say that this is a very nice start of the Q4 Rally which is known as window dressing.

1. Matahari Putra Prima (MPPA.JK)

This retail keeps increasing their sales volume but the latest Q3 report they have increase in profit because of the sales of one of its business unit. This can be said as a 'fake' profit, but I believe that their operation is still good with their dept store which sells stuff for middle-low economy people which are the largest population in Indonesia. Even I can say that their operating expense keep increasing with decreasing in sales. But since based on its technical analysis is quite good, we can trade for short term.

 Rating: Buy On Break; Entry: 1420-1430, S/L: 1310-1300

2. Bukit Uluwatu Villa (BUVA.JK)

After a sudden accumulation at the closing bell, this stock finally surge up to 600, which is still its all time high which I expect to be broken tomorrow. If tomorrow it is broken, then we can add our position, but if not, we can wait at 590.

Rating: Buy; Entry: 590-610 (add at 610 when 600 is broken), S/L: 540-530

Remember that we must be very discipline o the plan, note the plan & win the trade...

Happy Investing^^

Disclaimer ON!!!

EZ Stock List & Analysis

As I promised, I will give you some stock picks & analysis. But before giving you guys the analysis demanded, I'll firstly give the lists.

The lists are TSPC.JK, ADRO.JK, JSMR.JK, ANTM.JK, EXCL.JK, MLPL.JK. We can see that these stocks are very interesting recently.

1. Tempo Scan Pacific (TSPC.JK)

After a sudden rally at the last minutes last Friday, I assume that there might be a sudden news that the foreigner get, maybe an anticipation of good report of their financial statement. Since I see that the chart is set nicely, the next resistance is quite near at 1840, but seems to be quite easy to be broken because the last breakout volume is very great.

 

Rating: Accumulation Buy, Entry: 1780-1790; 1850-1860; S/L: 1550-1540

2. Adaro Energy (ADRO.JK)

After creating an all time high, this stock again show up the power. Together with the increment of the Coal price, increasing of demand of coal, the revenue might increase in value. After last Friday it was highly accumulated by some foreigner, and the earnings is expected to be increase also.

 

Rating: Buy; Entry: 2275-2300, S/L: 1990-1980

3. Jasa Marga (JSMR.JK)

This stock is again creating another new high and this stock is very frequent in creating a new high. I believe that this stock will again move higher as efficiency is met by the company in operation. We can see when passing thru toll road we don't use ticket anymore but only a bill and also new e-toll.

 

 Rating: Buy; Entry: 3675-3700, S/L: 3325-3300

4. Aneka Tambang (ANTM.JK)

Increment of gold's price really affect the increase of the company's revenue, yet the hard metal price also increase so that we can expect increase of the stock price. After breaking the resistance, this stock is expected to continue the rally as the stock is accumulated with a volume.

Rating: Buy; Entry: 2575-2600, S/L: 2350-2325

5. XL Axiata (EXCL.JK)

This stock is in a very uptrend position, a good promotion yet increase in sales will be the 'fuel' for this stock to continue its journey again.

 

Rating: Buy; Entry: 5750-5800, S/L: 5350-5300

6. Multipolar (MLPL.JK)

One of a Lippo Group company which operates in IT field. This company expecting increment in revenue by 20% this year. Cheap valuation is the key for the stock to increase again.

Rating: Buy; Entry: 210-215, S/L: 183-182

Here's the bonus for today, as I promised I will give some analysis on stocks as demanded, but before giving the list, I'll first analyze the mining index.

MINING Index is now almost broken another new high, we can see that it is at the top of the level now. It just need another 5 pts to make another new high. The index is supported with a very nice move of commodities especially minings like coal, etc. We can also see the MFI is now almost bending upward again.

AKR Corporindo (AKRA.JK)
Nicely supported by the increment of the oil price, the revenue is also expected to increase also in value not in quantity. We can see that this stock has just made a rally for the recent 3 days. If you want to enter to this stock, you can still enter but remember once you get stuck, don't be panic coz it's trying to break the resistance.

Rating: Buy; Entry: 1570-1580, S/L: 8% of entry price or 1310-1300

Indo Tambang Raya Megah (ITMG.JK)
All time high is the key of success for this stock yet as I said, increase of demand & price of coal will be the 'fuel' to boost up the stock & revenue. From technical view, this stock deserves to be collected.

Rating: Buy (for medium - long term trader); Entry: 48050-48100 (short term trader); S/L: 43850-43800 or 8% of purchase price.

Happy Investing^^

Disclaimer ON!!!